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Incorporating Climate Risk in the Bank’s Credit Risk Management Framework

African Development Bank (AfDB)

May 1, 2024
Climate Risk Management
Climate Transition Planning
ESG Strategy
Climate Risk Modeling
Green and Sustainable Finance Solutions

Narrative description of Project:

Our firm was selectedby the African Development Bank’s Group Risk Management Function (PGRF) toreview and strengthen the Bank’s approach to climate-related credit risk acrosssovereign and non-sovereign operations. The assignment combined internationalbenchmarking, framework development, scenario-based analysis, governancerecommendations, and practical implementation support. While centered onclimate-related credit risk, the work also addressed broader institutionalneeds relevant to governance, data, methodologies, and decision-usefulintegration of climate-related considerations into core risk and managementprocesses.

Description of actual servicesprovided by your staff within the assignment:

Ourfirm supported a comprehensive enhancement of the Bank’s climate-related creditrisk approach across sovereign and non-sovereign operations, combiningbenchmarking, methodology development, implementation support, and governancerecommendations.

1.Review & Diagnostic (Gap Analysis)

·       Conducted a comparative assessment of AfDB’s credit riskmanagement practices against leading MDBs and DFIs, as well as relevant BaselCommittee and TCFD expectations, to identify gaps in climate-risk integration.

·       Reviewed the Bank’s existing climate-related tools and assessedtheir relevance for credit risk, data use, and institutional decision-makingpurposes.

·       Delivered practical recommendations on how physical and transitionrisks could be reflected in project-level climate risk classification,sovereign and non-sovereign credit assessments, provisioning, capital adequacy,and enterprise-wide stress testing.

·       Developed a climate-risk assessment matrix and scoring criteriatailored to sovereign and non-sovereign lending.

·       Provided guidance on integrating climate and broader ESGconsiderations into credit risk analysis, portfolio monitoring, and creditdocumentation.

2.Implementation & Climate Stress-Testing Framework

·       Designed and implemented a framework to assess physical andtransition risks across the Bank’s sovereign and non-sovereign exposures.

·       Built a climate impact quantification tool to translate climaterisk drivers into changes in key risk metrics and portfolio-level indicators.

·       Developed and operationalized a climate stress-testing frameworkfor forward-looking analysis under multiple NGFS-aligned scenarios.

·       Ran scenario analysis and climate stress tests to support riskappetite discussions, portfolio vulnerability assessment, and credit strategydecisions.

Deliveredrecommendations on governance arrangements and review cycles to support ongoinguse of climate-related methodologies within the Bank’s credit risk managementprocesses.

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